Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.470267 0.542505 0.621158 0.713027 0.817254 0.931690 1.066716
2025-08-24 0.342587 0.439779 0.556107 0.704980 0.889772 1.110887 1.394730
2025-08-31 0.264182 0.367518 0.500243 0.681921 0.922649 1.228998 1.646432
2025-09-07 0.232182 0.344596 0.497365 0.717918 1.025491 1.436063 2.021773
2025-09-14 0.191762 0.302041 0.459837 0.698905 1.047962 1.534156 2.256449
2025-09-21 0.160644 0.267213 0.427043 0.679998 1.064883 1.621702 2.479169
2025-09-28 0.136835 0.239456 0.400213 0.665055 1.083479 1.709988 2.706520
2025-10-05 0.123939 0.226987 0.394807 0.681302 1.149193 1.871183 3.052450
2025-10-12 0.116296 0.222025 0.400404 0.714881 1.244006 2.082761 3.489966
2025-10-19 0.106810 0.212396 0.396784 0.732174 1.312968 2.257761 3.881439
2025-10-26 0.096969 0.200677 0.387981 0.739164 1.364443 2.407203 4.240949
2025-11-02 0.087216 0.187716 0.375305 0.737569 1.400192 2.532060 4.567023
2025-11-09 0.077342 0.173390 0.358886 0.728168 1.422523 2.637964 4.872830
2025-11-16 0.068736 0.160451 0.343641 0.719391 1.445214 2.746337 5.191415
2025-11-23 0.059704 0.145245 0.322056 0.695856 1.437796 2.799937 5.415994
2025-11-30 0.057654 0.145004 0.330585 0.732524 1.547737 3.072968 6.053008
2025-12-07 0.050729 0.132688 0.312520 0.713154 1.546392 3.139863 6.315619
2025-12-14 0.044683 0.121492 0.295459 0.693893 1.543106 3.202048 6.572406
2025-12-21 0.039677 0.112038 0.281064 0.678669 1.546345 3.276288 6.856027
2025-12-28 0.037410 0.109135 0.281172 0.695221 1.617114 3.487255 7.417704
2026-01-04 0.036440 0.109467 0.288835 0.729429 1.728119 3.785399 8.169016
2026-01-11 0.034498 0.106909 0.289291 0.747046 1.804315 4.017620 8.801999
2026-01-18 0.032122 0.102796 0.285464 0.754166 1.857694 4.206009 9.356893